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BMKG: Was alert heavy rain from evening to night a week ahead

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Jakarta, cartitleloans Indonesia

The Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (
BMKG
) Predict the weather a week in the future in a number of areas of Indonesia dominated by rain with moderate to heavy intensity, especially in the afternoon to night.
BMKG revealed that entering the second dasarian September, parts of Indonesia were experiencing a transition from the dry season to the rainy season.
“Rain with moderate to heavy intensity which tends to be sporadic and short -duration and occurs in the afternoon until late at night often occurs during this transition,” BMKG said on its official page, Tuesday (9/16).
This phenomenon occurs in line with the entry of parts of Indonesia into the transition of the season, which is marked by sporadic rain, short duration, and tends to occur before night.BMKG said the dynamics of global and regional atmosphere helped strengthen the potential for the formation of rain clouds in various regions.
“Wind convergence, warm sea level temperatures, as well as the active atmospheric phenomena such as Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) and Kelvin waves become triggers to increase the growth of rain clouds in Indonesia,” said BMKG.
According to BMKG for the next week, significant growth of rain clouds still has the potential to occur in a number of regions in Indonesia.This condition is triggered by the interaction of various atmospheric, regional, to local atmospheric factors, which maintains the atmosphere in unstable conditions and supports the development of convective clouds.
The atmospheric activity has the potential to produce rain with varying intensity, ranging from mild to thick.
The potential for significant weather in the form of heavy rain accompanied by strong winds has the opportunity to occur in most of the regions of Sumatra, Java, and the central to east Indonesia regions.
BMKG also records the value of Dipole Mode Index (DMI) which is currently negative (−1,27) contributes to increasing the supply of water vapor from the Indian Ocean to the western part of Indonesia.
Meanwhile, the Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) value which tends to be negative in a number of regions indicates the strong potential for the growth of convective clouds.
On the other hand, atmospheric wave activity also plays an important role in the dynamics of atmosphere in the territory of Indonesia.The Mjo and Kelvin waves are still estimated to be active in the regions of Sumatra, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, and South Papua, which contribute to increasing convective activities and the formation of rain clouds.
In addition, atmospheric waves with low frequencies are also monitored in most parts of Indonesia, from the west to the east, so that it further strengthens the chances of rain.
Weather Prediction A week
During the period 16-22 September 2025, the potential for heavy rain accompanied by lightning and strong winds is expected to occur in a number of areas, especially in the western, central, to eastern Indonesia.The following prediction.
Period 16-18 September 2025
Areas with moderate to heavy rain:
Sumatra: North Sumatra, West Sumatra, Riau, Jambi, Bengkulu, Lampung.
Java and Bali: Banten, Jakarta, West Java, Central Java, DI Yogyakarta, East Java, Bali.
NTB-NTT, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, Papua: West Nusa Tenggara, East Nusa Tenggara, East Kalimantan, South Kalimantan, North Sulawesi, Gorontalo, Central Sulawesi, South Sulawesi, Maluku, West Papua, Central Papua.
Areas are on standby due to the potential heavy rain: Aceh, Riau Islands, South Sumatra, Bangka Belitung, West Java, Central Java, Yogyakarta, East Java, West Kalimantan, Central Kalimantan, West Sulawesi, North Maluku, Mountain Papua, and South Papua.
Potential strong winds: Aceh, Banten, and West Java.
Period 19-22 September 2025
Areas with moderate to heavy rain:
Sumatra: Aceh, North Sumatra, West Sumatra, Riau, Jambi, South Sumatra, Bangka Belitung, Lampung.
Java and Bali: West Java, Central Java, DI Yogyakarta, Bali.
Kalimantan and East Indonesia: West Kalimantan, Central Kalimantan, East Kalimantan, North Sulawesi, Gorontalo, North Maluku, Maluku, West Papua, Central Papua, South Papua.
Alert status: Bengkulu, East Java, Central Papua, Mountain Papua, and South Papua.
Potential of strong winds: West Java.
(DMI/DMI)
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